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Monday, April 15, 2019

Planning the Future of Shelter on a Finite Planet



Shelter means survival for Homo sapiens until sprawl becomes a threat to its source of life. Shelter site plan composition is defined by topics that may be unfamiliar. The values assigned to the topics and items listed in a building category template represent quantities . These quantities define a shelter capacity, intensity, intrusion, and dominance option illustrated by the site plan. (Shelter capacity is gross building area in sq. ft. divided by the buildable land area in acres.) The choice of values entered in a category template has quality of life implications within the property cell, or lot, and in the surrounding area. The accumulation of quantity decisions produced by property cell aggregation creates the Shelter Division of the Built Domain. This domain is organically alive and growing because we live in the nucleus of each cell.

I’ve covered this in two editions of my book, Land Development Calculations, 2001 and 2010, but the forecasting math in the attached CD’s was based on my first attempts to organize the empirical thought process and topic arithmetic related to the very beginning of the architectural design process. This site plan arithmetic sets the stage for all that follows, but site plan topics have not been consistently listed and values correlated to mathematically predict the shelter capacity, intensity, intrusion, and dominance implied. Site planning has also been upstaged by a focus on final building style and appearance. This may produce a signature building on an isolated lot, but isolated sculpture does not ensure desirable quality of life on the site and among buildings in surrouding neighborhoods, districts, cities and regions.

A focus on isolated shelter projects will continue to produce random sprawl until a new language is created with the power to correlate shelter capacity, intensity, intrusion, and dominance on every lot present and planned. The aggregation of these cellular decisions sets the stage for the physical, social, psychological, environmental, and economic quality of life in projects, neighborhoods, districts, cities, and regions.

The goal is shelter for the activities of growing populations within geographic limits that protect their quality and source of life. A new language of shelter planning is needed to achieve the goal. The goal will only be successful, however, when associated with a global policy of symbiotic survival.

A correlated mathematical language for shelter capacity measurement, forecasting, evaluation, and planning has been my objective, and I am writing this because the effort is complete. It has been based on the realization that there are now two worlds on a single planet – The Built Domain and The Natural Domain. The Built Domain contains Urban and Rural Phyla. Each phylum contains four divisions: Shelter, Movement, Open Space, and Life Support. The Shelter Division in each phylum is served by arteries of movement and life support. Open space arteries in the Urban Phylum are rarely present but badly needed. Their inclusion has been discredited by the concept of “highest and best use”. The benefit from this slogan has been limited to a few when the scope of shelter capacity, intensity, intrusion, and dominance imposed on our presence is considered in addition to the sprawl it produces when the concept is a world without end.

The Shelter Division contains six primary building design categories. Each category may be occupied by any activity, assuming zoning and building code compliance. A category is defined by at least two design specification templates that list topics in response to the information given. The values assigned to each topic and item in a template represent a design option that is produced by an architectural algorithm serving a master equation. The equation in one template produces gross building area options and implications based on floor quantity alternatives, and many options can be evaluated in the time it takes to produce one sketch. The equation in the other produces buildable land area options for a given gross building area objective. The palette of template values chosen represents a mathematical foundation for the vast list of architectural design decisions that are built upon this base.
Shelter cells, or lots, are presently growing with negligible, random restraint across the face of our planet in a parasitic pattern we refer to as “sprawl”. This is happening because there is no reliable leadership language for city design. A cure for sprawl will depend on its formation and the decisions we define as urban DNA with its vocabulary. The challenge I've mentioned is a symbiotic urban anatomy containing shelter for growing populations within limited geographic areas that are defined to protect their source and quality of life. The birth of this anatomy will replace the parasitic, carcinogenic pattern of land consumption that we currently refer to as “sprawl” when not admiring it as “growth”.

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Response to Bill Gates Regarding Land Consumption


The conversion of arable land to shelter population growth is currently a random function of market forces because these forces lack the mathematical ability to quickly, accurately and comprehensively forecast shelter capacity options. The result has been arbitrary consumption we call “sprawl” based on the concept of a “world without end” and the mandate to be “fruitful and multiply”. The” unlimited” concept no longer applies and the “fruitful” mandate is no longer needed to protect Homo sapiens from other predatory species. Homo sapiens’ parasitic, life threatening sprawl across the face of the planet however, will only be cured when we adopt a policy of symbiotic survival that includes the goal of shelter planning within sustainable geographic limits.

The classification system and mathematical tools required to accurately budget land for shelter is the subject of my fourth book, which is nearing completion. The choice of optional design specification values within the system will be up to you. These choices will determine our ability to shelter growing populations within geographic limits that protect their quality and source of life.